11 liquidation bots: 93% win rate, 0 survivors

Source: Popular YouTube and X crypto-bot channel

No stop, so almost anything wins.

Take the feed out and the flagship bot scores the same.

Profit factor, the two agent bots

0.52-0.69

This verdict is about the strategy as published, not about the person who shared it.

The claim

Here’s what the strategy promises, in its own terms.

Trade crypto off the liquidation feed (cascade chasing, dominance flips, liquidation-weighted VWAP). Headline: 93% win rate.

How we tested it

Same six checks as everything else here: random entries, coin flips, a look-ahead audit, unseen years, double costs and a luck check. How we test →

What we found

We rebuilt all 11 published strategies and ran them on 371,981 real exchange liquidations plus real 1-minute and 5-minute bars over 31 days. None survived. The 93% win rate comes from having no stop: a random entry under the same rules wins 86-87% of the time because price usually touches +1.2% within 72 hours. The flagship cascade chaser scored the same with the liquidation feed removed entirely, so the liquidation data adds nothing. The one real effect, a small bounce after a liquidation, is about 6 basis points, which is what trading costs.

The numbers

The headline numbers from our test.

Strategies tested	11
Survivors	0
Claimed win rate	93%
Random entry win rate	86.5%
Profit factor range	0.52-0.69 (the two agent bots)
With vs without liquidation feed	92.9% vs 92.8%
Bar to beat	random entry PF ~0.75

• Profit factor: money won divided by money lost. Below 1.0 loses money. Around 1.0 is break-even.
• R-multiple: profit or loss measured in units of the amount risked per trade. +1R means you made what you risked.
• vs random: how the strategy did against the same trades with random entries.